TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 5
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 5
Tropical Depression #DodongPH
Issued at 11:00 AM, 14 July 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 2:00 PM today.
DODONG MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NORTH NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CAGAYAN AREA
Location of Center (10:00 AM): The center of Tropical Depression DODONG was estimated based on all available data in the vicinity of Allacapan, Cagayan (18.2°N, 121.5°E)
Intensity: Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 75 km/h, and central pressure of 1000 hPa
Present Movement: North northwestward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds: Strong winds extend outwards up to 180 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, Kalinga, Abra, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, and the northern portion of Pangasinan (San Nicolas, San Manuel, Sison, San Fabian, Pozorrubio, Bolinao, Bani, City of Alaminos, Sual, Labrador, Lingayen, Agno, Binmaley, Dagupan City, San Jacinto, Mangaldan, Anda)
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Forecast accumulated rainfall for today to tomorrow morning
• 50-100 mm: Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Apayao, Kalinga, Abra Benguet, Ilocos Norte, La Union, and Pangasinan
Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
For more information on the areas affected by occasional to frequent rains from the Southwest Monsoon enhanced by DODONG refer to the Weather Advisory #4 for Southwest Monsoon issued at 11:00 AM today and the 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast at 4:00 AM today.
Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds (i.e., strong breeze to near gale strength) are also possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No.1 is currently in effect.
The enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring gusty conditions over the following areas that are not under any wind signal (especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
• Today: MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, CALABARZON, Metro Manila, and other areas of Central Luzon.
• Tomorrow: MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, CALABARZON, Zambales, Bataan, and Aurora
• Sunday: MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Cavite, Zambales, and Bataan.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, DODONG and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring moderate to rough seas over the eastern (1.5 to 2.5 m) and western (2.0 to 3.5 m) seaboards of Northern Luzon, and the western seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon (2.0 to 3.5 m). Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. If inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels, avoid navigating in these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• DODONG is forecast to move westward or west northwestward across the northern portion of mainland Northern Luzon and may emerge over the waters west of Ilocos Provinces later this afternoon or evening. Afterwards, DODONG will move generally northwestward over the West Philippine Sea until it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow evening or on Sunday. Outside the PAR, DODONG will move generally west northwestward over the waters south of southern China.
• DODONG will remain as a tropical depression during the remainder of its traverse of mainland Northern Luzon. It may reach tropical storm category by tomorrow afternoon or evening while over the West Philippine Sea
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 2:00 PM today.